Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003321 0.003708 0.004112 0.004564 0.005054 0.005569 0.006150
2024-10-06 0.002805 0.003364 0.003978 0.004701 0.005525 0.006431 0.007498
2024-10-13 0.002517 0.003179 0.003936 0.004858 0.005945 0.007177 0.008670
2024-10-20 0.002157 0.002857 0.003687 0.004730 0.005996 0.007469 0.009299
2024-10-27 0.001921 0.002654 0.003550 0.004708 0.006149 0.007862 0.010034
2024-11-03 0.001705 0.002452 0.003392 0.004640 0.006226 0.008152 0.010638
2024-11-10 0.001545 0.002307 0.003292 0.004628 0.006363 0.008506 0.011319
2024-11-17 0.001396 0.002162 0.003177 0.004585 0.006450 0.008793 0.011913
2024-11-24 0.001321 0.002111 0.003182 0.004695 0.006732 0.009327 0.012824
2024-12-01 0.001177 0.001950 0.003025 0.004578 0.006705 0.009458 0.013218
2024-12-08 0.001085 0.001857 0.002955 0.004572 0.006822 0.009772 0.013851
2024-12-15 0.001054 0.001852 0.003008 0.004735 0.007170 0.010397 0.014899
2024-12-22 0.000992 0.001798 0.002990 0.004800 0.007389 0.010861 0.015755
2024-12-29 0.000956 0.001781 0.003024 0.004942 0.007719 0.011481 0.016830
2025-01-05 0.000929 0.001776 0.003074 0.005105 0.008080 0.012149 0.017982
2025-01-12 0.000832 0.001647 0.002929 0.004972 0.008013 0.012224 0.018326
2025-01-19 0.000769 0.001572 0.002860 0.004949 0.008100 0.012512 0.018964
2025-01-26 0.000701 0.001482 0.002764 0.004878 0.008111 0.012690 0.019450
2025-02-02 0.000651 0.001420 0.002708 0.004865 0.008208 0.012989 0.020106
2025-02-09 0.000599 0.001349 0.002634 0.004821 0.008253 0.013212 0.020658
2025-02-16 0.000580 0.001339 0.002660 0.004935 0.008540 0.013789 0.021719
2025-02-23 0.000521 0.001248 0.002543 0.004813 0.008460 0.013827 0.022009
2025-03-02 0.000486 0.001201 0.002498 0.004807 0.008557 0.014126 0.022676